China House Prices Falling 1

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Monday, December 1st, 2014
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China’s housing prices fell on a monthly basis for the seventh straight month in November, a survey showed.

The average price of a new home in China’s 100 major cities was 10,589 yuan ($1,736) per square metre in November, down 0.38 per cent from October, the independent China Index Academy said in a statement.

The fall was a slight improvement from the 0.40 per cent month-on-month drop in October, previous figures showed.

“We expect the interest rate cut to kick in next year,” Bai Yanjun, research director for the China Index Academy, told AFP.

“We still believe the market is under downward pressure for the rest of 2014 because the current home inventory levels in first-tier and major second-tier cities are still high,” he said.

China cut both lending and deposit rates just over a week ago, and analysts said home mortgage buyers would be among the biggest beneficiaries.

“The rate cut sends a strong signal that the property market will likely bottom out soon,” China economist for Merrill Lynch Hong Kong, Lu Ting, said in a research note.

On a year-on-year basis, China’s new home prices fell 1.57 per cent from the same month last year, far sharper that the annual fall of 0.52 per cent in October, the academy said.

But for China’s ten biggest cities – which tend to have the most active property markets – new home prices rose 0.07 per cent in November from October, marking the first gain after six months of declines, it said.

The commercial city of Shanghai was the best performing with housing prices rising 1.18 per cent in November from October to 32,140 yuan per square metre, making it the second most expensive city behind the capital Beijing.

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  1. Boris Slater

    And so the bursting of the bubble begins…