New Zealand Property Values Start to Slowdown

Monday, February 10th, 2014
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The increase in New Zealand property values has slowed, suggesting restrictions on high debt lending and looming interest rate rises may have prompted buyer caution.

Values increased at a 9.6 per cent annual pace in January, lagging December’s 10 per cent rate, according to state valuer Quotable Value (QV).

Nationwide values increased 0.3 per cent in January from December, when they increased 1.3 per cent, the agency said.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand introduced loan-to-value (LVR) mortgage lending restrictions on October 1 on concern rapidly accelerating house prices in Auckland and Christchurch may lead to an asset bubble and cause financial instability.

The central bank is expected to start hiking interest rates from next month to cool the economy as inflation accelerates.

“Property value growth has slowed down in the first month of the year,” QV research director Jonno Ingerson said in a statement on Monday.

“While this is the first month that values appear to have slowed, and generally we would wait for subsequent months before claiming a trend, the timing does align to the LVR speed limits.

“The predicted increase in mortgage interest rates in the near future are likely to also slow down values further.

“This may, in fact, already be affecting buyer confidence and contributing to the slowing we are seeing.”

Values in Auckland increased at a 14.5 per cent annual pace in January while Christchurch values rose 12 per cent, compared with an 11.7 per cent gain for main urban areas.

In provincial areas, values are variable with some experiencing growth, others remaining stable and in some cases a decline, QV said.

Nationwide, prices are 12.8 per cent above the previous market peak of late 2007.


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