Australia’s Home Building Boom May be Over: HIA 1

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Tuesday, August 30th, 2016
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Australian New Home Sales Reach 27 month high
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A big fall in new home sales suggests Australia’s home building boom may be coming to an end.

New homes sales slumped 9.7 per cent in July, following a jump of 8.2 per cent in June, the Housing Industry Association’s data shows.

“New home construction has been the kingmaker of the Australia economy, but the cycle has peaked,” HIA chief economist Harley Dale said.

“In all likelihood, we will experience sharper falls in new home construction in both 2017 and 2018.”

Dr Dale said that while the media will likely beat up any large falls in home building figures, the boom was winding down from unprecedented highs.

“The magnitude of decline in new home construction in coming years will, of course, be exaggerated by where we are coming from – record levels of medium/high density construction and historically healthy levels of detached/semi-detached dwelling construction,” he added.

Detached house sales fell in all five mainland states in July with the biggest drops being 12.8 per cent in South Australia and 8.7 per cent in Queensland.

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  1. Bill Roper

    As was said in one of the articles on this site yesterday, the peak of Australia's housing boom is now over.

    Activity will still be pretty strong as there is a strong pipeline, but the absolute peak has passed.